Two automated bots for Kalshi prediction markets. The weather bot prices every contract from NOAA's calibrated station forecasts, and skips the markets it cannot price. The inflation bot runs five signal sources across CPI and PCE. Full Python source, a visual dashboard, no subscriptions, no paid APIs.
Built and run daily on real money by a senior data engineer.
POWERED BY INSTITUTIONAL GRADE TECHNOLOGY
THE ENGINE
The bot prices a contract from NOAA's calibrated station guidance, and when no guidance exists for that market it stays out rather than guessing. No emotion, just probability. Two bots. One for weather, one for inflation. Both powered by the same principle.
Bot Monitoring
LiveWeather Bot
Inflation Bot
Data Sources
Capital Deployed
$43.20
TRANSPARENCY
It is the most common question. The answer is simple: prediction market liquidity. Kalshi operates on binary contracts. Other traders reading the same NOAA forecast guidance alongside you do not dilute your mathematical edge. We trade the weather, not each other.
This bot trades weather, not stocks. There is no insider information, no alpha decay from sharing. The edge comes from mathematical modeling that most traders cannot build themselves. More users running the same model on Kalshi binary contracts does not move the underlying weather.
THE METHODOLOGY
The weather bot prices contracts from NOAA's National Blend of Models: calibrated, bias-corrected, station-level probabilistic temperature guidance published for exactly the stations Kalshi settles on. Probability comes from interpolating NOAA's own published percentiles. Five raw forecast systems stay in the model at a combined quarter weight, as a disagreement check rather than as the basis of the decision.
NBM coverage begins 24 hours out, so the bot does not trade same-day markets. It declines to price what it cannot price.
The inflation bot runs five independent signal sources: Cleveland Fed Nowcast, FRED energy signals, BLS CPI subcomponents, BEA PCE data, and a homemade weighted nowcast. When the models disagree with each other by more than 0.15 percentage points, that disagreement is the trade signal.
Learn How It Works →THE OBJECTION
Free GitHub bots are single scripts that place an order and hope. Predict & Profit is a maintained system.
TRANSPARENCY
Results update automatically as contracts settle. I show everything, winners and losers, because transparency is how you build trust. The system has been hardened across three releases with stricter filters, broader forecast inputs, and honest fill accounting.
View Live Results →THE OFFER
Use code HOME15 at checkout for 15% off.
$75
Already bought? v2.5 is included. Download the latest from your Gumroad library.
What changed in v2.5 →GET IN TOUCH
Questions about the bot, the data, or licensing? Send us a message and we will respond within one business day.